Bruce’s Briefs: WX for 28, 29, 30, and May Day! Protection Island Race

Congratulations to Kirsten Neuschӓfer winning the 2022 Golden Globe Race in 235 days, in a Port Townsend-built Cape George 36, OUTSTANDING!

Finally, the spring we’ve come to expect has arrived! Today’s surface analysis chart and sat pic show a thermal trough along the coast and as this builds, offshore flow will increase, and combined with downslope compressional heating you have the record temps we are enjoying today. While this may impact our snowpack, it’s not going to last as this trough will drift inland and onshore flow will develop on Saturday. Sunday a weak front will drift over the Salish Sea allowing the cooler, onshore flow to continue. We should enjoy a week of mild weather with little or no rain until, of course, Opening Day! That’s still a ways off so we’ll see.

All of this is pretty good news for the Protection Island Race as we will probably have a downwind start in 8-12 knots of wind which should hold until Marrowstone Island, where the onshore flow coming down the Strait of JdF will bring WNW of breeze to the race course somewhere between 1200-1500hrs. This breeze will continue down the Sound to about Elliott Bay and hold until about 2200 hrs on Saturday. Then the next front will bring SSW breeze of 12-18 knots to waters south of Pt No Pt for the rest of the weekend and into next week. 

The other part of the Protection Island equation is the tidal current in Admiralty Inlet and this weekend, the tides won’t be bad and with the current weather forecast, you will have enough wind to counter the anti-water. Since the current will be against you around the course, you will still have to play the usual back eddies.

Tidal  Current Admiralty Inlet, off of Bush Point.

0800     Slack

1048     Max Flood        1.34 knts

1336     Slack

1618     Max Ebb           1.26 knts

1912     Slack

2242     Max Flood        1.77 knts

0300     Slack

0612     Max Ebb           1.53 knts

The tough part of this race will be the transition zones, especially the ones between Pt No Pt and Pt Townsend on the way up and between Pt No Pt and the finish on the way back. Keep the eyes out of the boat and let the trimmers trim and the drivers drive.

Have a great weekend! Get out that sunblock and use just like do like you do voting in Chicago, early and often.

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